Pre-tourney Rankings
Tennessee St.
Ohio Valley
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.1#165
Expected Predictive Rating+1.8#143
Pace66.8#188
Improvement+6.0#12

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#200
Improvement+1.9#72

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#139
Improvement+4.1#24
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 20   @ Saint Louis L 37-71 7%     0 - 1 -17.5 -22.8 +2.1
  Nov 14, 2011 188   @ Western Kentucky L 49-52 43%     0 - 2 -1.1 -19.2 +18.0
  Nov 20, 2011 157   @ South Carolina W 64-63 35%     1 - 2 +5.2 -6.5 +11.6
  Nov 22, 2011 4   @ North Carolina L 69-102 3%     1 - 3 -11.0 +0.8 -9.1
  Nov 25, 2011 243   Mississippi Valley L 89-90 2OT 68%     1 - 4 -5.8 +5.9 -11.5
  Nov 26, 2011 266   Morgan St. W 69-64 73%     2 - 4 -1.2 +0.4 -1.1
  Dec 01, 2011 54   Middle Tennessee L 62-77 32%     2 - 5 -10.2 -7.6 -2.5
  Dec 06, 2011 24   @ Belmont L 62-75 8%     2 - 6 +2.4 -1.5 +2.7
  Dec 10, 2011 247   Central Michigan W 65-57 79%     3 - 6 -0.4 -10.2 +9.9
  Dec 17, 2011 242   @ Delaware St. W 59-55 55%     4 - 6 +2.8 -6.3 +9.8
  Dec 21, 2011 336   Alabama A&M W 78-68 95%     5 - 6 -8.6 -6.6 -2.5
  Dec 29, 2011 334   Tennessee Martin W 83-67 94%     6 - 6 1 - 0 -1.9 -3.0 +0.6
  Dec 31, 2011 262   @ Eastern Kentucky L 68-73 60%     6 - 7 1 - 1 -7.6 -3.3 -4.7
  Jan 05, 2012 180   @ Tennessee Tech L 86-92 40%     6 - 8 1 - 2 -3.4 +6.5 -9.4
  Jan 07, 2012 211   @ Jacksonville St. L 65-72 47%     6 - 9 1 - 3 -6.1 -5.6 -0.5
  Jan 11, 2012 203   Morehead St. W 77-72 70%     7 - 9 2 - 3 -0.4 +10.8 -10.6
  Jan 14, 2012 307   SIU Edwardsville W 52-49 89%     8 - 9 3 - 3 -10.3 -24.6 +14.4
  Jan 16, 2012 212   @ Austin Peay L 63-69 47%     8 - 10 3 - 4 -5.2 -12.5 +7.5
  Jan 19, 2012 299   @ Eastern Illinois W 55-46 70%     9 - 10 4 - 4 +3.6 -10.8 +16.1
  Jan 26, 2012 334   @ Tennessee Martin W 72-59 85%     10 - 10 5 - 4 +1.9 -7.2 +9.2
  Jan 28, 2012 262   Eastern Kentucky W 91-85 2OT 81%     11 - 10 6 - 4 -3.4 +3.6 -7.5
  Jan 30, 2012 212   Austin Peay W 77-57 72%     12 - 10 7 - 4 +14.0 +4.2 +10.7
  Feb 04, 2012 230   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 75-72 52%     13 - 10 8 - 4 +2.7 +1.1 +1.7
  Feb 09, 2012 42   @ Murray St. W 72-68 12%     14 - 10 9 - 4 +16.7 +4.5 +12.2
  Feb 11, 2012 180   Tennessee Tech W 68-53 66%     15 - 10 10 - 4 +10.8 -9.7 +20.2
  Feb 14, 2012 211   Jacksonville St. W 69-64 OT 72%     16 - 10 11 - 4 -0.9 -1.9 +1.2
  Feb 19, 2012 189   @ Miami (OH) W 68-61 43%     17 - 10 +8.9 +5.8 +4.2
  Feb 23, 2012 42   Murray St. L 62-80 29%     17 - 11 11 - 5 -12.1 -4.7 -8.2
  Mar 02, 2012 203   Morehead St. W 59-52 58%     18 - 11 +5.0 -9.7 +15.3
  Mar 03, 2012 42   Murray St. L 52-54 19%     18 - 12 +7.3 -5.3 +12.2
Projected Record 18.0 - 12.0 11.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0%
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 100.0% 100.0
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%